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Top Picks — Last 10 Days

How our #1 rated pick in every race has done, day by day. This is our ratings' raw accuracy across all races — the Nap is our single most confident pick each day.

Last 10 days combined

147/383

Winners

261/383

Placed

38%

Strike rate

68%

Place rate

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Day by day

Date	Races	Winners	Placed	Strike
Thu 22 Oct	39	12	26	31%
Wed 21 Oct	37	10	23	27%
Tue 20 Oct	30	11	19	37%
Mon 19 Oct	47	17	31	36%
Sun 18 Oct	20	4	13	20%
Sat 17 Oct	58	24	41	41%
Fri 16 Oct	39	16	27	41%
Thu 15 Oct	39	15	26	38%
Wed 14 Oct	37	18	26	49%
Tue 13 Oct	37	20	29	54%

What this shows. Our rating ranks every runner in every race; this tracks how the rank-1 pick fared, settled on official finishing positions. It's a measure of raw accuracy, not a betting system — backing every top pick isn't profitable (favourites are short). Our flagship pick is the selective Nap. Non-runners are excluded. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

What's the difference between the Nap and your top picks?

The top picks are my number-one rated horse in every single race. The Nap is just one of them each day — the single clearest standout, taken at 2/1 or bigger. Backing every top pick isn't profitable, which is why the selective Nap is our flagship pick.

Why isn't backing every top pick profitable?

Because many top-rated horses are short-priced favourites, and favourites as a group don't return a profit at Starting Price even though they win often. The edge comes from being selective about price, which is exactly what the Nap does.

What is a good strike rate for horse racing tips?

Backing favourites and top-rated picks, a win strike rate around 30–35% is normal. On its own that number means little without the odds — a high strike rate at short prices can still lose money — which is why I always show price and ROI alongside it.

How are strike rate and place rate calculated here?

Strike rate is winners divided by the number of picks that got a finishing position (non-runners are excluded). Place rate counts picks that finished within the each-way places for the size of the field.

How many races does this cover?

Every UK and Irish race on the day's cards — often 30 to 60 a day — each with a single top-rated pick, tracked over a rolling 10-day window.